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How do I get estimates from people when the work is uncertain?

What do I do if team members are saying they can't create a good schedule, because the work is too uncertain to estimate accurately?
Do you like driving in the fog? Planning something that you're not sure how to approach or have never done before is like driving in the fog—you're not sure what's beyond your sight, but you do know the destination is further down the road. So what do you do? You don't just stop in the road and wait for it to clear—not if you've got somewhere important to go! Just like driving in the fog, you move forward as far as you can see, and as you move forward in steps, the next part of the road becomes clearer. So on your project, the first step to moving forward through the fog with the team is to set up a way of working with the team to iteratively develop and refine…

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